Archive for the ‘Real Estate Market Reviews’ Category

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18

Condo market growing in Gig Harbor

Posted by Matt Thomson 1 Comment »

Gig Harbor does not have a ton of condominiums available, though recently there have been several “Condo Conversion” projects that have boosted the Gig Harbor condo market. There are currently 74 condos available for sale in Gig Harbor and Fox Island (77 if you count the 3 boat slips, which are listed as condos). The range of these condos is extremely vast, from waterfront luxury to affordable waterview to converted apartments to spacious condos on acreage.

Quiet Firs Condos

Condos can have several advantages over single family homes.  Many Gig Harbor residents choose to enjoy our sunny summer months and migrate to sunnier weather during the winter time. Condos provide a safe, easy way to lock up and travel without the worries of maintenance. Most condominium complexes charge homeowners’ dues that cover a wide range of things, from insurance, landscaping, exterior maintenance, and even some utilities. Be sure to check with your real estate agent to find out the specifics before you purchase a condo.

Condos can also be an affordable way to buy into the Gig Harbor housing market, though as you’ll see, not all of our condos fit the bill of “affordable.” For those looking for a low maintenance, often rent-able Gig Harbor residence, our condo market may have just what you are looking for.

Condo Table

This list is certainly not complete, as there are many more condo complexes than these and many of the above complexes have multiple units for sale. If you’d like a complete list of the condos available in Gig Harbor, please give me a call. Ranging from $179,950-$2M, there’s sure to be something for you!

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10

Weekly Gig Harbor Real Estate Market Report

Posted by Matt Thomson 3 Comments »

For this week’s look at the Gig Harbor real estate market I wanted to show a breakdown of the homes currently for sale.  This chart shows the number of homes currently for sale in Gig Harbor (Fox Island is included, the Key Peninsula is not…these are just single family homes, not multi-family or condos) broken down by price range.  The column to the right, DOM, is the average “Days On Market”, or the amount of time the houses have been listed for sale.  If you’d like a report for Port Orchard or the Key Peninsula, or you’d like a similar report for condos, please let me know!

Gig Harbor Home Sales Price Breakdown

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03

Gig Harbor Real Estate Market–Weekly Review

Posted by Matt Thomson No Comments »

Every Monday I like to take a close look at the real estate trends in Gig Harbor, Port Orchard, and the Key Peninsula.  I track the home sale and home listing numbers weekly and truly enjoy looking for trends and indicators in our local real estate market.

Looking at the following graphs it’s not too hard to see what the Gig Harbor real estate market is doing.  You can see week by week more and more homes being listed.  At the same time, the number of homes that are pending sales is also increasing, but at a much slower rate, thus our home inventory continues to climb. 

New homes on the market each week

Total homes for sale

Total homes with sales pending

The numbers tell the story here.  More and more homes continue to be listed for sale in Gig Harbor, Port Orchard, and the surrounding areas, and the sales, while still rising, are not keeping up.  What is confusing to me is that we keep hearing that this is a ”buyer’s market,” yet where are the buyers?  If you are considering a move to Gig Harbor, now’s a great time to start looking.  If you’re thinking that things haven’t bottomed out yet, you’re probably right.  It doesn’t hurt to start looking now, and if you find the home of your dreams, make an offer!

For full reports or questions about the Gig Harbor real estate market, please give me a call or shoot me an email.

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25

Gig Harbor Real Estate Weekly Report

Posted by Matt Thomson 5 Comments »

I wanted to take a look at year vs. year home sales in Gig Harbor for this week’s report.  We hear of so many different statistics being thrown around regarding the real estate market, but rarely is there any practical applications for the statistics.  The chart below shows YTD statistics for 2008, 2007, and 2006, respectively.  All three years are January 1st-February 25th of the respective years.

Gig Harbor real estate trends

Two of the most glaring numbers I see are # of homes sold and the comparison of List $ to SOLD price.  In ‘08, you can see we’ve sold less than 1/2 of what sold in ‘07 during the same time frame, and less still than in ‘06.  The other glaring number is the discrepancy between what sellers were asking and what they were getting.  You can see in ‘06, the median SOLD price was 100% of the median asking price, versus 92% in ‘08. 

When I look at these numbers as a seller, I’m not overly optimistic.  HOWEVER, I believe it should be remembered that the average US homeowner owns their home for 5-7 years.  So, looking at the same time period in 2002, we see that Gig Harbor sold 79 homes at a median price of $220,000 (average price of $215,000)!  While it’s true that prices for Jan/Feb have dipped the past 2 years, they’ve still more than doubled since 2002!  Would I recommend selling now if it was just a fancy and you were wanting to test the market?  No.  I don’t think this is your best time.  If you are ready to sell (moving, need to downsize, having a baby and need more room) then know that you CAN sell your home in this market…BUT it must be in top condition, priced REALISTICALLY for today’s market, and marketed aggressively (click on the photo below).  A sign in the yard and a photo or two on the MLS won’t cut it.

North Tacoma homeSo, why if the prices are dropping do people keep saying it’s a bad time to buy, also?  Those voices are generally the ones trying to time the market.  Have we seen the slowest point?  I don’t think so.  I think all of ‘08 and possibly into ‘09 we’ll see this dragging market.  So if you’re looking to simply invest in real estate and snatch up properties, is now the time?  Probably not.  But if you’re ready to move (being relocated to Gig Harbor, need more space, tired of renting), it’s a great time to buy.  Less than 1/2 the homes are selling than in past years, our inventory is higher than it’s been in years, sellers are clearly taking less than what they’re asking…so remind me again why buying now is a bad idea if you’re ready?  As a buyer, make sure you are well represented.  Find out what homes are actually selling for, don’t be afraid to ask for repairs if the home needs them, request that the sellers pay your closing costs…buy the home on your terms.One thing that many people forget about buying a home is that there are people involved, not just properties.  “Low balling” a seller isn’t something I practice.  “Price Puffing” is also something I want my sellers to avoid.  I’ve been called “nothing more than a used car salesman” more than once, which is fine with me because one of the men I respect the most in this world is the son of a used car salesman.  He was a man of integrity and knew that he wasn’t just selling machinery, but that people were involved, too.  You can be a salesman, car or home or otherwise, and still operate with integrity, treating people fairly and making sure that both parties involved feel good about the deal.  When I sell a house, regardless of whether I’m representing the buyer or the seller, I like to pretend that the offer is laid on the table on a Lazy Susan.  If the table was spun and all of the sudden I found myself on the other side, would I still be happy?  If so, it’s a great deal; if not, let’s try to keep working! 

If you’re needing to sell or wanting to buy a home in Gig Harbor or the surrounding area, please give me a call and find out just how easy of a transaction it can be. 

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18

Another look at Gig Harbor’s Real Estate Absorption Rate

Posted by Matt Thomson 2 Comments »

For my weekly look at the Gig Harbor real estate market, I wanted to revisit the absorption rate of houses for sale in the area.  As a reminder, the absorption rate measures how long it will take for our current home inventory to be completely sold, or absorbed.  To calculate this number, we take the current number of homes for sale in Gig Harbor, and divide that by the number of houses selling each month. 

Gig Harbor's Whitley Hills

Currently there are 572 homes for sale in Gig Harbor.  Over the past 3 months, we are averaging 24 home sales per month (only 20 homes sold in Gig Harbor during January).  At this current pace, if no more homes were listed for sale, our current inventory wouldn’t be sold until January of 2010!  Port Orchard has a much better scenario, as their absorption rate is only 12 months, exactly half that of Gig Harbor.  Port Orchard has 621 homes for sale, and is averaging 48 home sales per month over the past 3 months. 

Gig Harbor's Cromwell Woods

So what do these numbers mean for you if you are needing to sell your home soon?  PRICE IT WELL!  Houses are still able to sell quickly, when they are priced correctly.  Of the 72 Gig Harbor houses to sell the past 3 months, the average days that they spent on the market was 191 days.  However, 24 of the 72 homes sold in 3 months or less.  This is a perfect example of how house pricing affects the statistics. 

Gig Harbor's Trillium Park

If your house is overpriced to begin with, not only will it be sitting on the market with the other 572 homes, but it will have the additional competition that gets listed each week.  On January 6 of 2008, there were only 500 homes on the market in Gig Harbor.  You can see how our inventory is rising.  An overpriced home quickly gets pushed further and further down the list, quickly becoming a “stale” listing.

So how do you know where to price your home?  Have a Realtor analyze what similar homes have SOLD in the past few months.  Don’t make the mistake of basing your home’s value on what else is currently on the market.  Let’s say the data for SOLD homes shows your value to be around $455,000, for example, but you’re positive your home is nicer than the one down the street listed for $485,000, so you decide to list at $495,000.  What happens?  The one listed for $485k has been sitting, so they do a price reduction to $470k.  A new home comes on the market for $465k.  You drop yours to $475k to try and keep up.  Meanwhile, the other two homes, still over priced, do price reductions, and now you’re chasing the market.  By the time your home sells, it may have been sitting for 9 months and been reduced $50k.  Don’t let that happen.  Look at the SOLD numbers, swallow your pride, don’t gamble, and let your house sell.  Make sure you hire a Realtor who can swallow his/her pride as well.  Many real estate agents have been accused of “buying” listings; that is, telling the seller they can sell it for more than any other agent just to get the listing, only to start the priced reduction game later.  Don’t get me wrong, this isn’t the case for every house that has price reductions.  Sometimes the seller and the agent just guess wrong; sometimes there are factors that can’t be controlled.  If you under-price your home, chances are you’ll get multiple offers which may end up driving the price of your home up even more.  If it’s not under-priced, and is in fact priced well, it should sell within a month.  There are so many buyers out looking right now, tired of the over priced homes, that the instant a well priced home pops on the market they’ll be ready to snatch it up.  For more information on the area’s absorption rate, or further details on preparing your house for sale, please feel free to contact me.

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11

Gig Harbor Real Estate Weekly Report

Posted by Matt Thomson No Comments »

Each Monday I like to track home sales in the Gig Harbor, Port Orchard, and Key Peninsula areas.  Real estate is a local market, and no national report can ever give you the flavor of a local report.   Below is a chart showing the total number of homes for sale in Gig Harbor and the surrounding areas at week’s end for each week of ‘08 thus far.  As you can see, inventory is still rising, though at a fairly controlled rate.  Gig Harbor has more homes listed for sale each week than homes actually selling, an obvious indicator of rising inventory.

Number of homes for sale in Gig Harbor area

Bottom line?  If you are thinking of buying in this area, you’ve got a great selection.  If you are wanting to sell your Gig Harbor house, you need to make sure it is in top condition, priced right, and marketed aggressively.  I’d be happy to offer assistance in both cases. 

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05

Gig Harbor Home Sales Report

Posted by Matt Thomson 1 Comment »

 Here is my weekly look at the Gig Harbor, Port Orchard, and Key Peninsula real estate market.  The following graphs show how many single-family homes were listed for sale each week, and how many homes went under contract for sale each week.  You’ll notice that this past week saw a decrease in homes on the market (inventory), and an increase in pending sales (activity).  One week doesn’t indicate a trend, but it is encouraging to see houses moving. 

Gig Harbor Home Sales

For a full report on homes for sale in Gig Harbor, or if you are looking to move to Gig Harbor and would like more information on our real estate market, please feel free to contact me.  This information is free to you!

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28

Gig Harbor Real Estate Report

Posted by Matt Thomson No Comments »

Here’s a look at the weekly Gig Harbor Real Estate report:
Homes new on the market:  31      Total homes on the market:   558

Homes newly pending:   7               Total homes pending:   34

Port Orchard Real Estate Report:

Homes new on the market:  53         Total homes on the market:   601

Homes newly pending:  7                    Total homes pending: 54

Key Peninsula Real Estate report:

Homes new on the market:  11          Total homes on the market:  260

Homes newly pending:   3                   Total homes pending:   13

For a full real estate report on Gig Harbor and the surrounding area, please feel free to contact me.

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15

Charting Gig Harbor’s Home sales

Posted by Matt Thomson No Comments »

Last week I began a weekly segment showing the home sales activity in Gig Harbor, Port Orchard, and the Key Peninsula.  I like to compare homes that have come active on the market versus homes that have gone to “Pending,” meaning they have a signed around contract between buyer and seller that is simply pending a close.  I believe that these comparisons give a good glimpse into Gig Harbor real estate (as well as Port Orchard real estate and Key Peninsula real estate).

The numbers from week 2 of 2008 are almost identical to week 1’s numbers, with one notable exception.  Port Orchard saw 16 homes go to Pending this week, compared to only 2 in week 1.  Both Gig Harbor and the Key Peninsula only had 2 homes go Pending in week 2.  Gig Harbor had 33 new homes come active on the market, while KPN only saw 12, and Port Orchard had 40.

Keep in mind that some of these numbers can be a bit skewed.  For example, a home that has been on the market for 6 months may “Expire,” then re-list, thus showing as a “New listing.”  It’s always a good idea to ask your Realtor what a home’s property history is.   How long has it been on the market, any price reductions, etc.

For full reports on the Gig Harbor area real estate market, please email me at mthomson@kw.com or call me at the number listed at the top of this site.

Canterwood home

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08

Gig Harbor Real Estate’s Absorption Rate

Posted by Matt Thomson 2 Comments »

Statistics don’t lie.  You can make them say just about anything you want, so they can be very deceiving, but they don’t lie.  Real estate is full of statistics.  One of the numbers that I find to be important is what is referred to as “Absorption Rate,” the rate at which the market could absorb all of the houses currently for sale.  To calculate this number, I look at how many homes are currently on the market, and divide that number by the number of homes that sell each month.  If, for example, there were 600 homes on the market, and 50 sold each month, it’d take 12 months for all 600 homes to sell (be absorbed). 

Rambler for sale at $329,000

Looking specifically at Gig Harbor real estate, there are currently 517 homes on the market in Gig Harbor.  Averaging November and December’s numbers, we are selling 26 homes per month.  That means our absorption rate is 19.9 months.  If nobody else put their home on the market in Gig Harbor, and houses continued to sell at their current rate, it’d take essentially 20 months for all of the houses for sale in Gig Harbor to sell! 

That’s an important number to keep in mind when you are thinking of selling your home.  Does that mean that when you list your home, it’s going to take a year and a half to sell?  Of course not.   It means that you had better seriously consider your home’s condition, the price that you’re asking, and the terms that you’re willing to accept when you put your home on the market. 

Let’s say for example there are 25 homes on the market in the $385,000-$400,000 price range, the range you believe your house falls in.  If you put your house on the market and it’s not in pristine condition, or you price it at $399,900 because you’re sure it’s nicer than those other homes, chances are you’ll still be sitting on the market in several months because not only do you have the 20 months worth of absorption, but you’ve got new houses coming on the market each week pushing yours further back.  If on the other hand you have your house in tip-top shape, priced closer to the bottom of that price range, your house will be the one that attracts the buyers, leaving the other houses to wallow on the market longer.

Terri Hills for $509,000

20 months is a big number for an absorption rate.  It doesn’t mean houses aren’t selling and it doesn’t mean that you can’t get a good price for your home.  It simply means that you’d be wise to invest some time preparing your house for sale and researching the market to best price your home.  I’d be happy to share with you some tips that I’ve learned to make sure your home is in its best condition, and I’d be happy to give you a professional market evaluation to give you a good idea of what your home’s current value is.